Equities continued higher amidst little change in data and rising geopolitical risk.

October 3, 2017

What happened in September?

In a month filled with continued geopolitical tumult alongside multiple devastating hurricanes, U.S. equity markets experienced one of the least volatile Septembers in half a century. Historically the most volatile month of the year, this September saw an average daily move of only 0.4% in the S&P 500 Index. The measure of volatility (VIX) in the index slid under 10 after seeing highs above 15 in August. U.S. equities were up 2.0% for the month, bringing the quarterly returns to 4.3% and the YTD to 13.7%. A lack of negative domestic economic news, continued positive international data and sustained high levels of sentiment led the bull market onward.

Across the globe, the MSCI-Emerging Markets Index was down -0.4% as a result of strengthening U.S. yields enticing investors away from the volatile regions and some domestic headwinds, particularly in Turkey and the Middle East. However, emerging market equities continued to be a leader among other assets with YTD performance at 27.8%. The All Country World Index ex-U.S. (ACWI ex-U.S.) ended the month up 1.9%, and 21.1% YTD.